A survey conducted by Reuters/Ipsos and released on Tuesday (13), reveals that the former president of the United States, Donald Trump, has 37% of voting intentions, while Joe Biden, who plans to run for re-election in 2024 , holds 34%.
Although Trump is numerically ahead of the current US president, both candidates are technically tied within the poll’s margin of error, which is 2.9 percentage points.
As a result, the survey interviewed 1,237 North American adults over 4 days across the country, via the internet, until Monday (12).
This result indicates fierce competition for the election, scheduled for November 5th this year. Another 10% of those interviewed said they would vote for other candidates, while 12% said they would not vote. It is worth noting that voting is not mandatory in the United States. Furthermore, 8% of respondents chose not to respond. The sum exceeds 100% due to rounding.
Therefore, according to Reuters, one of the potential challenges that Trump may face in the election are the ongoing criminal proceedings against him.
About one in four Republicans surveyed and roughly half of those who identified as independent said they would not vote for the former president if he were convicted of a serious crime. It is important to highlight that the former president’s candidacy has not yet been made official by the Republican Party.
Furthermore, Trump is still competing in the election caucuses with Nikki Haley. She served as US ambassador to the UN (United Nations) during the Trump administration, from 2017 to 2018, and was governor of the State of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017.
Likewise, Joe Biden was also not formally nominated as candidate for the Democratic Party, although he is likely to run for re-election.